PPolySim OS
For Hobbyists & Makers · Bayesian Inference

Bayesian Inference for a quality-control chart

Built for hobbyists & makers exploring it for fun. Play with real physics and math, no license and no setup — just open and tinker. Simulate a quality-control chart live below — adjust the inputs and watch it respond, right in your browser.

Bayesian InferenceLive

Controls

Presets

Bayesian inference updates a prior belief with data to form a posterior. For a coin, a Beta prior combined with binomial coin flips gives a Beta posterior — the conjugate update is just adding heads to α and tails to β. Watch the posterior sharpen and shift as evidence accumulates.

▶ Run in Python

Data Inspector

Posterior mean0.667
Posterior SD0.094
Posterior α, β16.0, 8.0

Governing equation

Reading this result: The posterior mean 0.667 sits between the prior mean 0.500 and the observed rate 0.700; with 20 flips versus 4.0 pseudo-counts, the data dominates and pulls the estimate toward the evidence.

Runs locally in your browser — free forever. Scale to the cloud when reality gets heavy.

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Frequently asked questions

Is this good for hobbyists & makers?
Yes — this version of "Bayesian Inference for a quality-control chart" is framed for hobbyists & makers exploring it for fun. Play with real physics and math, no license and no setup — just open and tinker.
Do I need to install anything?
No. It runs in any modern browser, free, with no account required.