PPolySim OS

Gambler's Ruin

Play a nearly fair game long enough against a rich opponent and you will almost surely go broke. The unforgiving math of gambler's ruin.

Gambler's RuinLive

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A gambler betting against a rich casino faces gambler's ruin: even a nearly fair game (49% odds) almost always ends in bankruptcy before hitting a big target, because the house has effectively unlimited funds. The tiny edge compounds relentlessly over many bets — which is exactly how casinos stay in business.

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Data Inspector

P(ruin) theory80.8%
Ruined (this run)0 / 30
Edge per bet-1%

Governing equation

Reading this result: The house edge (p<0.5) makes ruin nearly certain — P(ruin) rises exponentially with the target, so aiming for $50 from $20 all but guarantees going broke first.

Runs locally in your browser — free forever. Scale to the cloud when reality gets heavy.

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How it works

Gambler's ruin analyzes a random walk between zero and a target. Because the casino has effectively unlimited funds and holds a small edge on every bet, the walk drifts toward your ruin far more often than toward your goal. Even at 49% odds the tiny disadvantage compounds relentlessly across many bets — the reason the house always wins in the long run. Educational tool.

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Frequently asked questions

Is this gambler's ruin tool really free?▾
Yes. Gambler's Ruin runs entirely in your browser using your device's own compute, so local use is free forever. You only pay Compute Tokens if you scale a job to the cloud.
Do I need to install anything?▾
No. Everything runs client-side in a modern browser — no downloads, no license, no account required to start.
Can I save or share my simulation?▾
Create a free account to save projects, and use a shareable embed or minted DOI to publish a live, interactive version anywhere.
How accurate are the results?▾
The solver uses established numerical methods, but results are for research and educational purposes and should be validated against experiment or professional review before you rely on them.