One in fourteen million, one in three hundred million — lottery jackpot odds are staggering, and adding just a few numbers to the pool makes them far worse.
Lottery OddsLive
the tax on not knowing math
Odds of the jackpot
1 in 13,983,816
Pick 6 from 49
Spending $2 a ticket, a win is expected about once every 28.0 million dollars played.
1748× more likely to die in a car crash this year.
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Presets
Winning a jackpot means matching every drawn number, and the odds are the number of possible combinations, C(pool, picks). Adding just a few numbers to the pool multiplies the odds dramatically — a 6-from-49 draw is 1 in 14 million, 6-from-59 nearly 1 in 45 million. You are far likelier to be struck by lightning, which is why lotteries are so profitable.
Reading this result: Matching 6 of 49 is a 1-in-13,983,816 shot: buying one ticket every draw (twice weekly), you would wait about 134,460 years on average for a single jackpot.
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How it works
A jackpot requires matching every drawn number, so the odds equal the number of possible combinations, C(pool, picks). Expanding the pool multiplies the combinations explosively — 6-from-49 is about 1 in 14 million, 6-from-59 nearly 1 in 45 million. Comparing to everyday risks like a car crash shows just how remote a win is, which is exactly why lotteries are so lucrative for the operator.
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