PPolySim OS

Retirement Monte Carlo

A single retirement projection is a fairy tale — markets are random. See the realistic band of outcomes, from unlucky to fortunate.

Retirement Monte CarloLive

Controls

Presets

Markets are uncertain, so a single projection lies. This shows a band of outcomes: even with the same average return, higher volatility widens the gap between a great result and a disappointing one. Educational tool, not financial advice.

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Data Inspector

Median outcome$4453k
10th percentile$229k
90th percentile$197506k

Governing equation

Reading this result: The 10th–90th band spans about 863.6× — even at a steady 6% average, uncertainty compounds over 30 years into a wide range of endings.

Runs locally in your browser — free forever. Scale to the cloud when reality gets heavy.

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How it works

Because returns vary year to year, a portfolio's future is a distribution, not a line. This shows the median path with a 10th-to-90th-percentile band; higher volatility widens the spread even when the average return is unchanged, which is why sequence-of-returns risk matters. Educational tool, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is this retirement monte carlo simulator tool really free?
Yes. Retirement Monte Carlo runs entirely in your browser using your device's own compute, so local use is free forever. You only pay Compute Tokens if you scale a job to the cloud.
Do I need to install anything?
No. Everything runs client-side in a modern browser — no downloads, no license, no account required to start.
Can I save or share my simulation?
Create a free account to save projects, and use a shareable embed or minted DOI to publish a live, interactive version anywhere.
How accurate are the results?
The solver uses established numerical methods, but results are for research and educational purposes and should be validated against experiment or professional review before you rely on them.